POLITICS
Texas Senate Race: Talarico Leads Paxton in Latest Polls
Multiple polls show Democratic candidate James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, with margins ranging from 4 to 6 percentage points. The race remains competitive heading into the final days before the election, with prediction markets tracking it closely.
Left2
Recent polling demonstrates clear Democratic momentum in Texas, with Talarico consistently polling above 50% against Paxton across multiple surveys including AtlasIntel and YouGov polls.
Center2
New surveys show Talarico ahead in a closely watched race, though the outcome remains unresolved going into the final voting days and prediction markets continue to track the contest.
Signals
X🚨BREAKING: Paxton leads Talarico in TIGHT RACE for Texas Senate seat. Texas - Senate 2026 🟥Ken Paxton 49.4% (+1) 🟦James Talarico 48.4% See all TX polls @Pollsmax. Paxton, the state's attorney general, defeated incumbent Senator John Cornyn by a wide margin in the Republican primary runoff, after securing the endorsement of President Donald Trump. Democrats have not won a U.S. Senate election inPolymarketTexas Senate Election Winner76%YesKalshiTexas Senate District 30 winner? (2028) — Democratic party0%Yes