Texas Senate Race: Talarico Leads Paxton in Final Polling

Multiple polls show Democratic state Rep. James Talarico leading Republican Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race by 4-6 percentage points in the final days before the election. The race remains competitive, with prediction markets tracking it closely as a closely watched contest.
Democratic candidate Talarico has achieved record-high chances of victory according to prediction markets; multiple public polls consistently show him ahead, signaling voter readiness for change in Texas.
Talarico's chances of victory have reached record highs based on recent polling, though the Senate race outcome remains unresolved going into the final stretch.
Paxton's controversial history may be affecting his performance; Talarico's own private polling reportedly shows the race is tighter than public surveys suggest, contradicting the apparent Democratic lead.